Thursday, February 26, 2015

Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo: A comparison of their penalty records

We take an in-depth look at the penalty records of Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, with the help of WhoScored.com data...
When Lionel Messi stepped up to take a 94th minute penalty at the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday night, he not only had a fantastic opportunity to put the tie even further beyond doubt than it already looked, but also to draw level at the top of this season’s Champions League top scorers chart and thereby extend his lead ahead of perennial adversary Cristiano Ronaldo both this season and in the all-time standings.
And yet, the best player of his generation contrived to pass up this chance, allowing Joe Hart to make a fairly comfortable save before inexplicably missing a gaping open goal with a routine header from just a few yards.
Denied by Joe Hart in Manchester
The margins between Messi and Ronaldo are so fine in their quest to be the world’s number one footballer that every goal matters, and Messi’s misses will only have fuelled the naysayers who insist he has fallen behind Ronaldo.
This particular one may not prove costly over the course of this two-legged tie, but the Real Madrid winger could certainly overtake Messi in the individual stakes before the season’s end. Incredibly, the duo have won the Champions League top scorer award in each of the last seven seasons; Messi currently leads Ronaldo in this regard by four awards to three. Ronaldo will be keen to level things up this year.
UEFA Champions League top goalscorer list since the 2007/08 season

Over the course of the past few seasons, Messi has made changes to the way he approaches penalties, switching between the goalkeeper-dependent method (a more difficult tactic, by which the taker waits for the goalkeeper to make the first move before slotting the ball the other way) and the goalkeeper-independent method (where the taker picks his spot and attempts to score regardless of the goalkeeper’s movement).
Penalties could indeed be crucial to that battle, and Messi’s woes at the Etihad were not his first from the spot. It was in fact the fourth time he has failed from 12 yards from his last seven attempts in a Barcelona shirt.
After he missed a vital penalty in the Champions League semi-final at the Camp Nou in 2012 using the former method when Petr Cech waited until late to make his move, Messi has changed to the latter, but doesn’t seem to be faring much better as a result.
A comparison of Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo's penalties since 2009
In Champions League and La Liga games since the start of the 2009/10 season, Messi has scored 34 of his 40 penalty attempts, giving him a success rate of 85%. At first glance, this looks decent enough, but for a player of Messi’s abilities and calibre there is certainly significant room for improvement. Scoring 85% of the time means he misses from 12 yards every 6.7 attempts. A look at a map of his penalty attempts shows where he has most success.
The race to be the best goes on
When shooting to his ‘unnatural’ side – that is a left-footer shooting to the left side of the goal – he has scored every time, apart from once when, in September of this season against Levante, after switching to the goalkeeper-independent method in reaction to a few misses, he smashed the ball wide of the left-hand post. One can see why he was put off from going to that same side against City, but given that all four of the penalties he has seen saved have been struck low and to his ‘natural’ side, there was arguably greater reason for him to go the other way.
Rival Ronaldo, meanwhile, has such confidence in his ability when stepping up to a penalty that he generally goes for power as his weapon of choice. Incredibly, in 57 attempts over the past six seasons, the Portuguese star has not once missed the target, scoring 51 times to give him a success rate of 89.5%.
Cristiano Ronaldo claimed the Ballon d'Or for a second successive year in January

These two incredible players have so little between them that they need to make every advantage count in their inevitable race to be this season’s Champions League top scorer. A player of Lionel Messi’s quality should certainly not be passing up so many chances from the spot.
Striking to his unnatural side reaps 100% success for Ronaldo (17 from 17), as does going high (11 from 11), but he clearly much prefers going low and to the goalkeeper’s right, with 26 of his attempts going into that portion of the goal. For opposition goalkeepers facing the winger from 12 yards, it is probably worth throwing yourself towards that corner of the goal and hoping for the best. He has, though, tried to catch opponents out down the centre of the goal, and failed all too often, scoring only five out of eight attempts low and down the middle (62.5%).
All statistics courtesy of WhoScored.com

Fiorentina v Tottenham preview: Spurs travel to Florence for Europa League round-of-32 second leg

Harry Kane has scored 13 goals in his last 17 games in all competitions
Harry Kane has scored 13 goals in his last 17 games in all competitions
Tottenham travel to Italy to face Fiorentina in the Europa League round-of-32 second leg after a 1-1 draw at White Hart Lane last week.
Spurs will be up against it in Florence after Josa Maria Basanta's away goal, and face Chelsea in the Capital One Cup final at Wembley just three days later.
Mauricio Pochettino must decide whether to drop his first-team regulars in preparation for the final on Sunday, while also being aware that the Europa League winners will be given a place in the Champions League next season.
Tottenham have lost just three times in 18 games in all competitions, but are without a win in three after two draws and a defeat since their 2-1 win over Arsenal on February 7. 
Roberto Soldado celebrates the opener in the 1-1 draw last week
Meanwhile, Vincenzo Montella's Fiorentina are unbeaten in 10, and have kept 11 clean sheets this season in all competitions.
Team news
Goalkeeper Ciprian Tatarusanu is a doubt, meaning Montella may be forced recall Neto, who was dropped earlier in the season for refusing to sign a new contract.
Borja Valero is also a doubt, while Giuseppe Rossi and Federico Bernardeschi are still out injured.
Spurs have no fresh injury concerns for the second leg, but all eyes will be on Pochettino's selection ahead of the Capital One Cup final.
Former Chelsea man Mohamed Salah should feature for Fiorentina
Key players Harry Kane and Christian Eriksen could make way, with the likes of Paulinho, Ben Davies and Federico Fazio waiting in the wings.

Inter Milan v Celtic preview: Scots go to Italy after thrilling 3-3 draw in first leg

Celtic's John Guidetti celebrates after scoring the equaliser at Parkhead
Celtic's John Guidetti celebrates after scoring the equaliser at Parkhead
Celtic travel to the San Siro on Thursday after a thrilling 3-3 round-of-32 first-leg draw at Parkhead against Inter Milan last week.
Ronny Deila's men need to score against the Serie A side to stand a chance of going through, but increased their hopes thanks to John Guidetti's stunning injury-time equaliser.
Celtic haven't reached the quarter-final of the competition since 2003/04, where they eventually were eliminated by Villarreal over two legs.
The Glasgow side are top of the Scottish Premiership by three points with a game in hand, and are unbeaten in their last 11 games in all competitions, winning nine of those.
Celtic manager Ronny Deila knows his side must score at the San Siro
Meanwhile, Roberto Mancini's Inter sit eighth in Serie A, but have won their last three domestic games, scoring nine times in the process.
Team news
Defenders Marco Andreolli and Danilo D'Ambrosio are doubtful for Mancini's side, while Jonathan, Yuto Nagatomo and Samir Handanovic are long-term absentees. 
Marcelo Brozovic and former Arsenal man Lukas Podolski are ineligible for the clash, but Rodrigo Palacio, who scored twice at Parkhead, could return to the starting XI after being left on the bench for the 2-1 win at Cagliari on Monday.
For Celtic, Jason Denayer should be fit to continue his partnership in central defence alongside Virgil van Dijk, despite the defender being forced to leave the fray at half-time in Sunday’s 4-0 hammering of Hamilton.
Roberto Mancini's Inter Milan are eighth in Serie A
Celtic assistant manager John Collins said they have no other fresh injury concerns ahead of the trip.

Besiktas v Liverpool preview: Mario Balotelli's goal puts Reds in strong position in Turkey

Mario Balotelli nets the winner in Liverpool's 1-0 win over Besiktas.
Mario Balotelli nets the winner in Liverpool's 1-0 win over Besiktas.
Avoid defeat and you’ll qualify, that’s the message Brendan Rodgers will be sending out to his Liverpool team as they head to Besiktas with a 1-0 lead in the Europa League round of 32.
Mario Balotelli scored the winning goal from the penalty spot in the corresponding fixture at Anfield but was criticised by his captain Steven Gerrard as team orders meant Jordan Henderson should have taken the kick. 
Rodgers’ men backed up that victory with a 2-0 victory over Southampton last Sunday, which continued their run of just one defeat in their last 18 matches in all competitions.

Liverpool’s visit to the Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadium will bring back special memories for all concerned with the club as it’s the setting where they beat AC Milan in the UEFA Champions League final in 2005.
This game starts a hectic period for Liverpool, who take on Manchester City on Super Sunday at 12pm before another crucial Premier League fixture against Burnley next Wednesday as they continue their charge towards the top four. 
Beskitas, who are playing at the Olympic Stadium while their own ground overlooking the Bosphorus is rebuilt, were knocked off top spot in the Turkish Super Lig at the weekend, suffering a surprising 1-0 defeat against Eskisehirspor while Galatasaray beat Sivasspor 3-2 to leapfrog their title rivals.
Team news
Henderson and Phillipe Coutinho have not travelled to Turkey - Henderson has been ruled out with a minor ankle injury but should be fit to face Manchester City while Coutinho has been rested.
Lazar Markovic serves the second game of his four-match European suspension.
Demba Ba is a major doubt with a calf problem.
Besiktas manager Slaven Bilic will be without Ersan Gulum and Ramon, who are both suspended, while Tolga Zengin, Ismail Koybasi, Cenk Tosun, Alexander Milosevic and Gokhan Tore are also missing through injury. 
Former Premier League striker Demba Ba, who has scored 13 league goals this season, missed the weekend defeat due to a calf injury and he’s also a major doubt. 
Opta stats
Liverpool have won their last four matches against Turkish opposition, scoring 12 and conceding just one in those games.
However, the Reds have won just one of their five away games in Turkey, 2-1 against Trabzonspor in the 2010/11 Europa League qualifying.
Besiktas’ last five games against English opposition have produced just five goals (two for, three against).
However, the Turkish side have lost none of their last three on home soil against English sides (W2 D1), keeping a clean sheet in the last two.

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Louis van Gaal should not be sacked by Manchester United, insists Gary Neville

Louis van Gaal: His Man Utd side face stiff competition for fourth spot
Sky Sports expert Gary Neville insists sacking manager Louis van Gaal would be the wrong move, even if Manchester United miss out on Champions League qualification.
The Dutchman succeeded David Moyes as United's permanent manager in the summer and despite an uneven campaign, he has put the team in position to finish in the top four of the Premier League.
United's seven-game unbeaten run came to an end at Swansea on Saturday as they suffered only their second defeat in 20 matches in all competitions.
Van Gaal has come under pressure in recent weeks and his side face stiff competition from Arsenal, Southampton, Liverpool and Tottenham for a place in next season's elite European competition.
But former United captain Neville is positive the Red Devils will complete the job – and thinks that even if they miss out, sacking Van Gaal would backfire on the club.
"I absolutely believe this time there will be continuity and they will stand by him even if he doesn't finish in the top four."
Gary Neville on Louis van Gaal
"Absolutely not, he shouldn't be sacked," he toldtalkSPORT.
"It would be a terrible season for Man United and Louis van Gaal (if they do not finish in top four). He would probably say it was a big failure because he knows his job this season. He has to get in the Champions League.
"But on the other hand, if he didn't, you can't just sack a manager one year and then sack another manager the year after. Where do you go from there?
"There has to be a level of continuity. I absolutely believe this time there will be continuity and they will stand by him even if he doesn't finish in the top four – and that's the right thing to do."
United have most of their rivals for European qualification still to play before the season finishes and Neville added: "I still think Manchester United will finish in the top four. I think they will scrape in.
"There is a period in March where they have Arsenal in an FA Cup quarter-final, then they have Spurs the Sunday after and Liverpool after that.
"There is an international break and then they have got Aston Villa, Man City and Chelsea. I'd like to think these games will inspire some of the bigger players at Man United."

Tottenham boss Mauricio Pochettino admits selection dilemma ahead of Fiorentina and Chelsea double-header

Mauricio Pochettino: Tottenham boss is preparing for "two cup finals"
Tottenham boss Mauricio Pochettino has admitted difficulty in trying to prepare and rotate players for a huge double-header in the next five days.
Spurs have travelled to Italy for the Europa League second-leg last-32 clash with Fiorentina on Thursday evening, having drawn 1-1 at White Hart Lane last week.
Pochettino’s side then contest the Capital One Cup final against Chelsea at Wembley on Sunday, and the Argentinian admits he has to rotate his team.
"The problem is that the decision always becomes about the result you get," the Spurs boss said.
"If tomorrow I rotate and then we win on Sunday I'm a genius. I may rest some players and play others and win against Chelsea in the final..
"But if we lose tomorrow and lose in the final, I am a very bad manager and I don't think that's fair.
"When you take a decision, sometimes you are right or wrong – this is all football. But afterwards I'm still the same manager; the same coach.
"The most important thing is to be clear; to analyse and identify that tomorrow is our first final. We need to decide the team after we analyse every case and every player and then afterwards it's about who is in full recovery and fully fit.
"We will try to win tomorrow and play better than Fiorentina and, after, analyse the game and try to put the best team out for the final on Sunday."
Tottenham normally return to England straight after Europa League games, but the club have taken the decision to remain in Italy until Friday afternoon.
And Pochettion said: "It is a very busy period. It is difficult to recover the players so we decided to stay here in Florence after the game.
"We will train here before flying back to London. I think it is very important to sleep well after the game, to eat well and to recover.
"On Sunday is another final so for that we need to provide our players with all the best things to arrive fresh on Sunday."

Diego Costa's rapid rise: from limited loanee to Chelsea's prolific goalscorer

Ahead of Sunday's Capital One Cup final, Matthew Stanger examines Diego Costa's metoric rise - and his status as Chelsea's key man for their Wembley showdown with Tottenham...
Such has been the speed of Diego Costa’s adaptation to English football, it’s easy to forget this is only the second time he has scored more than ten league goals in a season.
The burly Brazilian found the net 27 times in Atletico Madrid’s La Liga success last year, but before then his highest total was ten strikes in 2012/13 and 2011/12, when he was on loan at Rayo Vallecano.
Costa's breakthrough came in the 2013 Copa del Rey final. After playing understudy to Radamel Falcao for much of the season, Costa cancelled out Cristiano Ronaldo’s early header with a low left-foot drive to help his team to a 2-1 triumph. The Santiago Bernabeu was stunned. Four months later Costa silenced them again to take three points back across the city; a 1-0 victory that proved decisive in the title race.
Before the 2012/13 campaign, Costa had shown flashes of his quality for Atletico, notably with a brilliant hat-trick in a 3-2 victory at Osasuna in 2011. But the arrival of Falcao hindered his first-team opportunities once more at the Vicente Calderon, and a circuitous education that had already included spells at Braga, Celta Vigo, Albacete and Valladolid continued at Rayo Vallecano.
It was there that he first exhibited the potential to be prolific. Away from the spotlight, in Rayo’s 15,000-capacity stadium, the then 23-year-old struck ten times in 16 matches – one more than the number of yellow cards he collected. As the Guardian’s Sid Lowe recalls, so impressive were Costa’s performances that his coach, José Ramón Sandoval, called him the "best striker in the world".
The physical attributes have always been evident. “He is half a team on his own at times,” said Jose Luis Mendilibar, Costa’s manager at Valladolid in 2009/10. “He has this capacity to play up front on his own and occupy more than one opposing defender. Strikers need a little nastiness. It’s important that he doesn’t lose that because it is a big part of his game.”
There are no fears in that regard. While Jose Mourinho criticised his striker’s suspension for violent conduct after it was alleged that he deliberately stamped on Emre Can in the Capital One Cup semi-final, Costa clearly knows how to make his presence felt. It is perhaps his journeyman career before finally making the grade at Atletico that drives him, knowing he has to give everything on the pitch to remain at the highest level.
v

Live Capital One Cup Final

Chelsea vs Tottenham

March 1, 2015
    Desire
    It is not only strength and desire, but quality, too, that sets Costa apart. “I didn’t realise how good he was even after playing against him in the Champions  League,” said John Terry in August. “He has caused us some problems in training. When they hand the bibs out you want him to be on your side.”
    That potent combination of ability and determination is what causes Costa to be so decisive, highlighted by his statistics. As well as scoring Chelsea’s first goal on six occasions this season, Costa’s 27 La Liga strikes last year came in 22 different matches. He also scored nine times in eight Champions League fixtures, including seven in his first five appearances to become the competition’s greatest ever debutant.

    Diego Costa

    Penafiel - 13apps (5goals)
    Braga - 7 (0)
    Celta - 30 (5)
    Albacete - 35 (9)
    Valladolid - 34 (8)
    Atletico - 28 (6)
    Rayo Vallecano - 16 (10)
    Atletico - 31 (10)
    Atletico - 35 (27)
    Chelsea - 19 (17)
    (*league)
    “Fans look at the goals-scored columns but coaches look at what kind of goals a striker scores,” Mendilibar continued. “And Costa is one of those players who scores the opening goal that breaks the opposition down or the only goal of a tough 1-0 win."
    Those experiences of being the ‘clutch’ - the player team-mates turn to when the pressure is on - should serve Costa well as he prepares for Sunday’s Capital One Cup final against Tottenham. 
    There are few who can rival his claim to being the biggest of big-game players, with numerous opponents ready to testify to his quality. Tottenham should proceed with caution, because Costa will expect to play a significant role in Sunday’s outcome.